Kamala Harris 538 Odds Greater Thatn 55% By September 20

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Published on:
Sep/11/2024

There is now a betting market on whether Vice President Kamala Harris will have a greater than 55% chance of winning November's Presidential election by Friday September 20.

Donald Trump emerged Wednesday from a rocky debate against Kamala Harris looking to regain his footing with 55 days until Election Day, the first ballots already going out in Alabama and other states on the cusp of early voting.

“I think the contrast could have been drawn more sharply on what her policies have done over the last three and a half years,” said Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia in a critique of the former president’s approach. “That’s what I would have focused on.”

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Harris’ campaign immediately pitched the idea of a second debate. Fox News has proposed an October matchup but with moderators that Trump has indicated he does not prefer. And he said via his Truth Social account Wednesday that there is no need for a second round,

“In the World of Boxing or UFC, when a Fighter gets beaten or knocked out, they get up and scream, “I DEMAND A REMATCH, I DEMAND A REMATCH!” Well, it’s no different with a Debate,” Trump wrote, as he claimed victory. “She was beaten badly last night ... so why would I do a Rematch?”

BetOnline had Harris at -120 and Trump +110 as of Wednesday evening.

Polymarket offered the betting market on Harris' numbers at the political site 538.  Polymarket does not take bets from the U.S.

68% of those betting on Polymarket believe she will be over the 55 percent chance number by September 20.

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